Tracking fall; where we’ve been & where we’re going

October 12, 2018 0 Comments

From 80s (and even some 90s), then to some snow flurries late this week, fall has been wild!

Nonetheless, it seems like autumn has finally arrived in central Illinois.
Still, many are wondering “how has fall shaped up so far, and what can we expect for the rest of the season?”

This season, we’ve been well above average.
Temperatures have been nearly six and a half degrees warmer than normal.
Those numbers go from Wednesday (October 10), back to September 1 (which is considered the meteorological start of fall).
As for rain, we’ve seen a wet season.
We’re running almost three inches above normal.

The outlook for the remainder of the fall season shows that autumn is here to stay for a while.
The 6-to-10 day outlook shows well cooler-than-normal temperatures likely across the Midwest, so expect below average temperatures to stay locked in.
We are also talking about mainly dry weather, with below average precipitation likely for the next week to week and a half.

It is the same story through the rest of the month, with below average precipitation and cooler than normal temperatures likely.

However, a change comes as we wrap up fall and head into winter.
The outlook through December shows the return of the El Nino pattern in the Pacific, that may lead to a warm-up late in the year.
As for precipitation, there is currently not enough evidence to swing things one way or the other.
That’s according to the Climate Prediction Center’s outlooks.

On another note, we recently brought you statistics about warmer conditions over the last four-plus decades; the numbers show central Illinois’ fall temperatures have also gradually increased since 1970.
Those statistics are courtesy from Climate Central.

As for the rest of the season, we’ll see how things turn out.

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